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AUROSPromise Gap

Carbon credit / Amazon conservation · Watch

Moss Carbon Credit (MCO2)

Gap 32/100 — envelope 32 [21–98] — claim intensity 37/100 vs activity 13/100 (Dormant · mixed_public).

Open desk brief
All Promise Gap

ScoreActivityGapVarianceIoT

Lecture desk · ~15 min · moss-mco2

Même cas, trois signaux séparés. Rien de fusionné en un seul score.

  1. 1. Promise GapIntensité de claim vs vie mesurée
  2. 2. ActivityTransferts post-émission & profondeur
  3. 3. VariancekWh promis vs attestés (lab)

Brief desk une page

LIVE quality

Edition 2026-10-06 · 2026-10-06 01:20 UTC · live: ETH

Provenance: last verified 2026-10-06 01:20 UTC · quality mixed_public · hash 2132dd2ceb78… · P53 · rank 8/15 · both low

Does the claim match the activity?

Tokenized forestry carbon credit — not a fixed coupon No single APY listed — intensity reflects marketing posture only.

Claim source as of 2026-10-04: moss.earth/

Claim intensity 37/100 (no APY boost).

Claim intensity decomposition

  • Yield mention frequency: 40/100 · w0.4
  • Guarantee / “safe” language: 22/100 · w0.35
  • Press / social amplify: 55/100 · w0.25

Base = 0.4×yield + 0.35×guarantee + 0.25×press/social — then APY boost if present.

Gap over time

Edition tips for this asset — narrowing or widening tells a stronger desk story than a single score. Prior tip uses prior claim × current inactivity when we bootstrap (we do not invent past activity).

3 editions · 34 → 32 · -2 (narrowing) · 2026-10-04 → 2026-10-06

Recent changes

Densified machine-readable moves (Gap · Activity · Variance lab) — why · evidence · freshness · deltas. Exactly 3 types. Why = desk reading, not multi-hop AI. Indicative — not a rating. Promise gap ≠ fraud.

  • 2026-10-06 01:20 UTC · Gap 31→32 (watch→watch) · mixed · fresh

    Why: Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

    Δ 31→32 · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity · AUROS:ASSET:moss-mco2

  • 2026-10-06 01:20 UTC · Gap 31→32 (watch→watch) · mixed · fresh

    Why: Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

    Δ 31→32 · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity · AUROS:ASSET:moss-mco2

  • 2026-10-05 18:28 UTC · Gap 34→31 (watch→watch) · seed · aging

    Why: Gap narrowed 34→31 — claim pressure and/or measured activity moved closer (still not a fraud verdict). Drivers: activity 8→15 (+7).

    Δ 34→31 · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity · AUROS:ASSET:moss-mco2

Events API · Desk

AUROS reading

Last verified: 2026-10-06 01:20 UTC · quality mixed · Reading confidence 0.67 · freshness fresh 91/100

auros:energy:moss-mco2 · AUROS:ASSET:moss-mco2

reading_confidence is not an overall score. Source conflicts are shown — never averaged away. Corroborated points ≠ Verified asset. Variance = shared lab, not this slug’s meter. Freshness = real clocks only. History = existing emitters only. Events = exactly 3 densified types. Asset profile = existing pack on /desk?slug= — no /asset/* SEO factory · not Ask.

Asset profile · desk pack (unfused)

Moss Carbon Credit (MCO2) · AUROS:ASSET:moss-mco2 · issuer moss.earth · fused false · no /asset/* SEO factory · ask=false

  • promise_gap · gap_score 32 · tier watch
  • activity · global 13 · badge dormant
  • variance · shared_lab · not this slug’s meter

tips graph 4n/10e · evidence 13 · freshness fresh 91/100 · history 10 · events 3 · unknowns 5

Asset Profile densify (P6 · Étape 11) from existing Entity fields only — typed_id · aliases · issuer host · snapshot · unfused Gap≠Activity≠Variance pointers · graph_tip · evidence_tip · freshness_tip · history_machine · event_engine · relationships · unknowns · monitor/desk (Étape 15 · watch_anchor · desk_watch · free_entity_cap=3 · fake_enterprise_sku=false · action_recommended=false) · API paths. seo_factory=false · verified_asset=false · ask=false · fused=false. Not a mega-score · not Verified-asset · not /asset/* SEO factory · not Ask AUROS · not Health_Score. · watch · FREE 3 → Starter 5 (49€) → Pro 25 (199€) · free→starter→pro→enterprise_sales · auros.monitor.tip.v1 · auros.alerts.tip.v1 · Monitor Starter/Pro · intelligence · ·

Monitor this asset

Email when Gap / Activity / Variance lab moves (indicative · FREE cap 3 → Starter 5 → Pro 25 · alert why + evidence + freshness · fake_push=false). No action_recommended hedge/buy.

Monitor Starter / Pro · Monday newsletter · Agent API · moss-mco2

Are you Moss Carbon Credit (MCO2)?

Claim request — human review. Not a Verified-asset badge.

Desk · moss-mco2

Activity: 13/100 · Dormant

Readiness proxy: 68/100 — high readiness + promise gap is an AUROS-specific signal.

Moss MCO2 marketed as 1 token ≈ 1 VCS forestry credit — claim intensity from offset narrative, no honest APY.

Envelope 32 [21–98] · disagreement of claim vs inactivity drivers. Open notation desk

213298

Claim vs evidence

  • Neutral

    Tokenized forestry carbon credit — not a fixed coupon

    Activity 13/100 · dormant

    No honest single APY to entail or contradict. Intensity is marketing posture only.

  • Neutral

    Claim intensity 37/100

    Gap 32/100 · watch

    Watch: not enough to call a gap, not enough to treat as aligned.

Template NLI (entail / contradict / neutral). Misalignment signal — not a fraud finding.

AUROS signals

  • Activity Index

    13/100 · Dormant

    Post-issue life signal — dormant ≠ risky.

  • Promise Gap

    32/100 · Watch

    Claim intensity vs measured activity.

  • Readiness proxy

    68/100

    Green carbon proxy (catalog)

  • Freshness

    Not on Compare hub

    Energy Activity seeds are not always mirrored as Compare product ids.

Methodology · Activity page · Compare

AUROS

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Jurisdiction posture: EU-facing operations · imprint & entity pack on written request via /legal · /press
resources@getauros.com · legal@auros.app

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© 2026 AUROS · Tous droits réservés.

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Desk watch FREE cap 3 → Monitor Starter 5 (49€/mo) → Pro 25 (199€/mo) → Enterprise sales-led (not self-serve). Indicative digest alerts · fake_push=false · no action_recommended · no fake Enterprise SKU.

Claim profile

status unclaimed · unclaimed

Claim request only — not a Verified asset badge. Human review required. Indicative desk data until reviewed.

Latest move

promise gap moved · 2026-10-06 · freshness fresh

Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

Δ 31→32 · 1

evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity · Not a Verified-asset seal — data points only.

Gap trajectory

3 editions · 34 → 32 · -2 (narrowing) · tier watch · claim Δ 0 · activity Δ +5 · 2026-10-04 → 2026-10-06

LODO envelope coverage (pre-conformal)

2 pairs · thin (need ≥3) · median ±38.5 · last inside band · calibrated_conformal=false

Retrospective LODO coverage needs ≥3 edition pairs. calibrated_conformal=false · holdout_n=0 — labeled holdout remains empty.

Wash sample (sample-hint)

status quiet · pressure 0/100 · 0 flag(s) · self 0 · wallets/tx 0.64 · self P100 · detection_live=false

Sample-hint pressure 0/100 · status=quiet · 0 suspect flag(s). Unfused from Activity global. detectionLive=false · wash_ranking=false — not a certified wash/Sybil verdict.

Variance lab window (physical)

fill 0.94 · health 94 · silence live · 0% to trip · wad 940000000000000000 · history thin · HITL/mock · shared_lab

AUROS shared lab physical window as_of=2026-10-06 · fill=0.94 · health=94 · silence=live · collateral_wad=940000000000000000 · history=thin · settlement=hitl chain_write=mock mainnet_custody=false · shared_lab=true (not a market slug meter) · production_settlement=false · fused=false

IoT path /builders/first-meter · Resource Layer · Lab · real_device=false · mTLS preferred · HITL/mock · lab≠prod · not this slug’s meter

last move 31→32 (+1) · 2026-10-05 → 2026-10-06

cross drivers activity_only

Desk cohort (relative maths)

n=15 · gap P53 (rank 8/15) · claim P47 · activity P33

posture both low · claim below median · activity below median

Both claim intensity and activity sit below desk medians — quiet desk row, not a safety rating.

Agent reading (unfused)

overall_score null · health_score null · fused false · posture both low · history narrowing

AUROS unfused desk state for as_of=2026-10-06T01:20:43.505Z · quality=mixed · Promise Gap 32/100 tier=watch · claim_intensity=37 · Activity 13/100 badge=dormant (dormant≠risk) · claim_vs_life both low · history=narrowing · Variance=shared_lab (not this market slug’s meter) · health_score=null fused=false

read promise_gap → activity → variance_lab → events → facts → unknowns

AUROS agent reading densify (P7) is contextual, not a Cognitive Token. state_phrase lists unfused fields — never Health_Score. Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance. No action_recommended hedge/buy. No session-key trading on desk scores.

Agent safety (epistemics · spend)

health_score null · auto_trade false · memory design_only · spend fake_billing=false · UNKNOWN≠FALSE≠TRUE

do_not fuse_gap_activity_variance_into_overall_score · invent_health_score_or_cognitive_token · invent_risk_vector_blend · treat_promise_gap_as_fraud · treat_dormant_activity_as_credit_risk · invent_apy_or_coupon_series · +15

Agent safety densify (P6 · P1) — UNKNOWN must never be read as FALSE or TRUE · INFERRED ≠ OBSERVED ≠ SOURCE_VERIFIED · STALE stays STALE. overall_score/health_score always null · fused=false · action_recommended=false · auto_trade=false · memory=design_only. Spend gates = existing freemium IP rate-limit + Bearer quota (fake_billing_product=false · stripe_desk_pack_live=false). Cite agent_reading.do_not · Ask do_not · memory isolation tip · usage_meter. F1–F8 intact · Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance · not Health_Score theatre.

Promise history (APY tip)

APY no_apy · intensity 37/100

No honest claimed APY — AUROS will not invent a coupon trajectory. priorClaim N-1 UNKNOWN — no fake re-check (2v · HITL). invent_apy_series=false.

Desk signals (Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance)

  • Promise Gap · 32/100 · watch · open
  • Activity · 13/100 · dormant · open

    Market-life badge dormant this edition — dormant ≠ credit risk · credit_verdict=false · fused=false.

  • Shared Variance lab · AUROS lab physical window — not this market sample’s meter. · lab

Relations (AUROS ID lite)

  • token_symbol · MCO2
  • issuer_site · https://moss.earth/
  • evm_contract · 0xfc98e825a2264d890f9a1e68ed50e1526abccacd · ethereum
  • coingecko · moss-carbon-credit
  • claim_source · https://moss.earth/

Entity graph (ISSUER densify)

4 nodes · 10 edges · ISSUER 1 · fused false · no invented ISSUED_BY / OWNED_BY

  • ASSET · AUROS:ASSET:moss-mco2 · moss-mco2
  • CONTRACT · AUROS:CONTRACT:ethereum:0xfc98e825a2264d890f9a1e68ed50e1526abccacd · ethereum · evd_moss-mco2_evm_contract
  • TOKEN · AUROS:TOKEN:mco2@ethereum · MCO2
  • ISSUER · AUROS:ISSUER:moss-mco2 · moss.earth · evd_moss-mco2_issuer_site
  • DEPLOYED_AS · AUROS:CONTRACT:ethereum:0xfc98e825a2264d890f9a1e68ed50e1526abccacd · 0xfc98e825a2264d890f9a1e68ed50e1526abccacd · evd_moss-mco2_evm_contract
  • HAS_EXTERNAL_ID · coingecko:moss-carbon-credit · coingecko:moss-carbon-credit
  • HAS_EXTERNAL_ID · green:moss · green:moss
  • HAS_TOKEN_SYMBOL · AUROS:TOKEN:mco2@ethereum · relation.token_symbol
  • HAS_ISSUER_SITE · https://moss.earth/ · https://moss.earth/ · evd_moss-mco2_issuer_site
  • POINTS_TO_DESK_SIGNAL · green:moss · desk_signal:green_compare
  • CLAIM_DOCUMENTED_AT · https://moss.earth/ · https://moss.earth/ · evd_moss-mco2_claimed_apy
  • POINTS_TO_DESK_SIGNAL · promise-gap:moss-mco2 · https://moss.earth/ · claim_nli:no-single-apy

Entity Graph densify (P6 · P1 ISSUER) — citeable nodes from known desk facts only. Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance stay unfused. HAS_ISSUER_SITE cites URL · never ISSUED_BY / OWNED_BY without curated ownership evidence. Curated shared ISSUER hosts (toucan · auros lab) list sibling desk slugs. Unique issuer hosts tip AUROS:ISSUER:{slug} 1:1. invented_ownership=false forever · verified_issuer=false · fused=false. Not Health_Score · not ownership theatre.

Freshness (universal)

fresh · 91/100 · 6 clocks · fused false · not a trade clock · calibrated_changepoint=false

  • last_verified · fresh · 91/100 · desk_edition · 2.7h
  • claimed_apy · fresh · 97/100 · document · 2.2d
  • activity_global · recent · 83/100 · blockchain · 2.7h
  • evm_contract · recent · 83/100 · blockchain · 2.7h
  • issuer_site · fresh · 100/100 · document · 2.7h
  • claim_vs_activity · stale · 26/100 · desk_edition · 2.2d

Freshness densify (P6 · Étape 7) — universal labels from real as_of / observed_at / last_verified only · Fresh · Recent · Aging · Stale · Unknown. Class expectations: blockchain minutes–hours · Compare cache ~6h · documents days. Never invent ages. calibrated_changepoint=false · trade_clock=false · invent_ages=false · fused=false. Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance stay unfused. Not a mega-score · not Health_Score · not execution SLA. · /freshness

Time Machine (unfused)

10 lines · gap narrowing · fused false · no fused mega-timeline · invented_liquidity=false

  • promise_gap · 31→32 · Δ 1 · 2026-10-06 · prior 2026-10-05 · auros.desk · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap widened vs prior edition — claim vs measured life diverged. previous=31 current=32 · editions 2026-10-05→2026-10-06.

    signal

  • promise_gap · 37→37 · Δ 0 · 2026-10-06 · prior 2026-10-05 · auros.desk · evd_moss-mco2_claim_intensity

    Claim intensity flat across consecutive Gap editions. 37→37. Intensity ≠ verified yield.

    signal

  • promise_gap · 15→13 · Δ -2 · 2026-10-06 · prior 2026-10-05 · auros.desk · evd_moss-mco2_activity_global

    Activity global fell vs prior Gap edition — dormant ≠ credit risk. 15→13. Unfused from Gap score.

    signal

  • activity_badge · dormant→dormant · Δ UNKNOWN · UNKNOWN · auros.activity · evd_moss-mco2_activity_badge

    Market-life badge dormant this edition — dormant ≠ credit risk. Activity only — not Gap or Variance.

    signal

  • variance_window · 0.94→0.94 · Δ UNKNOWN · 2026-10-06 · auros.variance.lab

    Shared lab window tip — fill history thin or UNKNOWN. Not this market slug’s meter · no invented Wh series.

    signal

  • variance_window · UNKNOWN→live · Δ UNKNOWN · 2026-10-06 · auros.variance.lab

    Lab silence posture live · elapsed_ratio 0.004 · mainnet_custody=false · F8 lab≠prod.

    signal

  • variance_window · UNKNOWN→940000000000000000 · Δ UNKNOWN · 2026-10-06 · auros.variance.lab

    Shared lab collateralFactorWad=940000000000000000 · base_ltv=0.5 · not this slug’s custody LTV.

    signal

  • event · 31→32 · Δ 1 · 2026-10-06 · auros.desk · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

    signal

  • event · 31→32 · Δ 1 · 2026-10-06 · auros.desk · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

    signal

  • event · 34→31 · Δ -3 · 2026-10-05 · auros.desk · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap narrowed 34→31 — claim pressure and/or measured activity moved closer (still not a fraud verdict). Drivers: activity 8→15 (+7).

    signal

History / Time Machine densify (P6 · P1) from existing emitters only — Gap history · Activity badge N/N-1 · Variance lab window · Events v1. Fields: previous → current → change → timestamp → previous_timestamp → why → evidence (fact_fields · evidence_id · cites). UNKNOWN when no honest prior. Never invent liquidity/price/volume series. mega_timeline=false · invented_liquidity=false · fused=false — cite lines stay unfused (Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance). Not a mega-score · not /ask hero · lab window ≠ this slug’s meter · not Health_Score. · intelligence history · gap history · events

Event Engine (3 densified types)

3 events · types 3 · fused false · no invented types · invented_types=false

  • promise_gap_moved · 31→32 · fresh · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

  • promise_gap_moved · 31→32 · fresh · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap widened 31→32 — claim vs measured life diverged further this edition. Drivers: activity 15→13 (-2).

  • promise_gap_moved · 34→31 · aging · evd_moss-mco2_claim_vs_activity

    Gap narrowed 34→31 — claim pressure and/or measured activity moved closer (still not a fraud verdict). Drivers: activity 8→15 (+7).

Event Engine densify (P6 · Étape 9) — exactly 3 desk types (promise_gap_moved · activity_badge_moved · variance_window_updated). Serve-time why + evidence links (Fact Plane fields · Entity cite · evidence_id) + freshness (desk_edition · trade_clock=false) + history_machine-style deltas. invented_types=false · trading_feed=false · action_recommended=false · fused=false. Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance. Not a trading feed · not /ask · not a mega-score · not Health_Score. · events

Why (evidence)

13 items · fused false · Not a Verified-asset seal — data points only. · no invented D-press

  • claimed_apy · PRIMARY_ISSUER · unknown · Claimed APY unknown — no dated issuer figure on desk (tiers B · roles PRIMARY_ISSUER). confidence 0.40. · evd_moss-mco2_claimed_apy · hash 0ddc3acfc641…

    B:moss.earth

  • yield_claim_label · PRIMARY_ISSUER · partial · Yield claim label «Tokenized forestry carbon credit — not a fixed coupon» · tiers B+B+E · roles PRIMARY_ISSUER+PRIMARY_ISSUER+INFERENCE_LABELED · agreement partial · confidence 0.62. · evd_moss-mco2_yield_claim_label · hash cf956143124f…

    B:moss.earth · B:mco2token.moss.earth · E:green_compare_catalog

  • claim_intensity · PRIMARY_ISSUER · partial · Claim intensity 37 — AUROS-labeled marketing posture (method inference) · agreement partial · confidence 0.62. Not a rating. · evd_moss-mco2_claim_intensity · hash b5cf5e428c63…

    B:moss.earth · E:desk_inference

  • claim_vs_activity · PRIMARY_ISSUER · partial · Claim vs activity posture «watch» — cross-check of marketing claim against measured market life (method inference). High gap ≠ fraud. agreement partial · confidence 0.78. · claim_nli:no-single-apy · hash 0bf2c6eebeb4…

    B:moss.earth · D:coingecko · C:ethereum_contract · E:claim_vs_activity

  • activity_global · PRIMARY_ISSUER · partial · Activity global 13/100 from B+D+C sources (roles PRIMARY_ISSUER+SECONDARY_AGGREGATOR+OBSERVABLE_CHAIN · method corroboration). Dormant ≠ credit risk. agreement partial · confidence 0.78. · evd_moss-mco2_activity_global · hash 84f35791b882…

    B:moss.earth · D:coingecko · C:ethereum_contract

  • activity_badge · PRIMARY_ISSUER · partial · Activity badge «dormant» · tiers B+D+C · agreement partial · confidence 0.78. Dormant ≠ risky. · evd_moss-mco2_activity_badge · hash fc7af4bad01c…

    B:moss.earth · D:coingecko · C:ethereum_contract

  • evm_contract · OBSERVABLE_CHAIN · single_source · EVM contract 0xfc98e825… from C-tier / OBSERVABLE_CHAIN seed (method overlay). Chain ethereum. agreement single_source · evidence evd_moss-mco2_evm_contract · confidence 0.70. · evd_moss-mco2_evm_contract · hash 87440afd08e5…

    C:ethereum

  • issuer_site · PRIMARY_ISSUER · partial · Issuer site cited from B-tier / PRIMARY_ISSUER (method corroboration) · agreement partial · confidence 0.62. · evd_moss-mco2_issuer_site · hash 9d62c1716676…

    B:moss.earth · B:mco2token.moss.earth · D:coingecko

Evidence densify (P6 · P0) — Why tip from Fact Plane only · source · source_type · trust_role (A–E alias) · observed · confidence · method · evidence_id · hash · agreement. Conflicts stay visible (resolved=false · winner=null · auto_resolved=false). Corroborated points ≠ Verified asset. invented_d_press=false · mica_from_evidence=false · fused=false. Gap ≠ Activity ≠ Variance stay unfused. Desk reading, not /ask · not Health_Score. Pulse cite path only (never embeds HMAC codes). · pulse /pulse · entity cite

Data points

corroborated 3 · sourced 4 · unverified 2

Not a Verified-asset seal — data points only.

  • activity_global · 13 · corroborated · B+D+C
  • activity_badge · dormant · corroborated · B+D+C
  • claim_vs_activity · watch · corroborated · B+D+C+E

Agreement matrix (Fact Plane)

posture cross_checked · 4 tier(s) · 2 host(s) · authority A/C · not_a_verified_asset

Fact Plane cross-checked across 4 tier(s) · 2 host(s) · roles INFERENCE_LABELED+OBSERVABLE_CHAIN+PRIMARY_ISSUER+SECONDARY_AGGREGATOR. Corroborated points ≠ Verified asset · not_a_verified_asset. D-tier press blocked until dated independent sources.

Sources & agreement

9 facts · match 0 · partial 6 · conflict 0 · single_source 1 · unknown 2

  • claimed_apy · unknown · unknown · B · evd_moss-mco2_claimed_apy
  • activity_global · 13/100 · partial · B+D+C · evd_moss-mco2_activity_global
  • claim_vs_activity · watch · partial · B+D+C+E · claim_nli:no-single-apy
  • mica_status · unknown · unknown · no source · evd_moss-mco2_mica_status

Tiers A regulator · B issuer · C chain · D aggregator · E AUROS inference

MiCA (stub)

status not_ingested · free_when_available yes · paywalled no

MiCA / CASP status not ingested yet — AUROS will not invent a regulatory claim (P7 · invent_casp=false). When available, raw status stays free · paywalled=false.

What we don’t know

  • no_claimed_apy — No honest claimed APY figure — AUROS will not invent a coupon.
  • physical_not_per_slug — Physical production is not independently attested for this market slug — Variance remains the shared AUROS lab window (HITL).
  • wash_not_live — Wash detectionLive remains false — sample-hint suspects are not a certified wash verdict.
  • custodian_unverified — Custodian / depositary not independently verified in AUROS Entity v1.
  • mica_not_ingested — MiCA / CASP status not ingested for this entity yet — no free regulatory claim invented.

Entity API · Desk · Ledger · Pulse · First meter · Resource Layer · Lab · Methodology · moss-mco2