Variance Oracle

Promised production versus attested production

Post a lab window. Read fill, health, and the collateral factor a pool would use — same math as AurosRiskOracle. Physical kWh only. Never fused with Promise Gap or Activity.

Open desk brief

Methodology

Lab

IoT bridge

First-meter path

Lecture desk · ~15 min · Échantillon WePower

Même cas, trois signaux séparés — promesse vs vie, puis kWh physiques. Rien de fusionné.

1. Promise GapIntensité de claim vs vie mesurée
2. ActivityTransferts post-émission & profondeur
3. VariancekWh promis vs attestés (lab)

Commencer avec Échantillon WePower · Brief transférable

Lab

Run the same math in Lab

Lab window ≠ live market meter on Gap/Activity rows.

Fenêtre lab kWh promis vs attestés — lecture physique indicative, pas une cotation de pool live. Voir nos clarifications légales →

How an energy desk reads this

Window fill — attested Wh ÷ promised Wh for this lab period (dated above). Separate from Promise Gap (claim vs market life).
Collateral factor — what a pool would multiply into base LTV. Circuit open (48h silence) → factor 0.
Forward — share the pilot brief or the unfused desk pack.

01
Promise
A production curve in kWh, bound to a device or site.
02
Attest
Mosquitto ingest. Payload signed at the gateway. Replay and skew rejected in the bridge.
03
Score
Lab desk posts the window. Pools would read collateralFactorWad. No live lending market is claimed here.

Lab window only. Same closed-form math as AurosRiskOracle. Indicative pool read — not a live lending quote, not a mainnet mint. Settlement details live in the FAQ and machine brief.

Desk brief · Promise Gap · Activity · Monday newsletter · Energy Lab

What does the desk write?

This desk writes the lab window only. Attested watt-hours, gap, health 0–100, collateral factor (0 if the 48-hour silence circuit is open). It does not send a mainnet transaction.

How does a pool use this?

Base LTV 50% times collateralFactorWad. An 80% window yields 40% max quote borrow against resource collateral.

How should an enterprise use this desk?

Read the dated lab window (attested vs promised Wh), note the collateral factor and max quote LTV, then settle with a human. Pair with Promise Gap for claim-vs-life and Activity for market overlays — three unfused signals. Forward /desk for the one-page brief, or /protocol/variance-oracle/brief for Variance-only.

Is this the same as Promise Gap?

Promise Gap compares a listed yield claim to public product activity. Variance is physical kWh on the lab window.

Is this a live on-chain quote?

No. The desk posts the lab window with the same formulas as AurosRiskOracle. Paid settlement stays human-reviewed. Chain writes are not claimed as live production custody.

Can an industrial meter feed this desk?

Yes, through the same signed MQTT production envelope. A plant gateway can emit AUROS industrial JSON (register → Wh). That is a lab profile, not a certified SCADA stack.

Promised production versus attested production

Post a lab window. Read fill, health, and the collateral factor a pool would use — same math as AurosRiskOracle. Physical kWh only. Never fused with Promise Gap or Activity.

Methodology

Lab

IoT bridge

First-meter path

Lecture desk · ~15 min · Échantillon WePower

Même cas, trois signaux séparés — promesse vs vie, puis kWh physiques. Rien de fusionné.

1. Promise GapIntensité de claim vs vie mesurée
2. ActivityTransferts post-émission & profondeur
3. VariancekWh promis vs attestés (lab)

Commencer avec Échantillon WePower · Brief transférable

Lab

Run the same math in Lab

Lab window ≠ live market meter on Gap/Activity rows.

Fenêtre lab kWh promis vs attestés — lecture physique indicative, pas une cotation de pool live. Voir nos clarifications légales →

How an energy desk reads this

Window fill — attested Wh ÷ promised Wh for this lab period (dated above). Separate from Promise Gap (claim vs market life).
Collateral factor — what a pool would multiply into base LTV. Circuit open (48h silence) → factor 0.
Forward — share the pilot brief or the unfused desk pack.

01
Promise
A production curve in kWh, bound to a device or site.
02
Attest
Mosquitto ingest. Payload signed at the gateway. Replay and skew rejected in the bridge.
03
Score
Lab desk posts the window. Pools would read collateralFactorWad. No live lending market is claimed here.

Lab window only. Same closed-form math as AurosRiskOracle. Indicative pool read — not a live lending quote, not a mainnet mint. Settlement details live in the FAQ and machine brief.

Desk brief · Promise Gap · Activity · Monday newsletter · Energy Lab

What does the desk write?

This desk writes the lab window only. Attested watt-hours, gap, health 0–100, collateral factor (0 if the 48-hour silence circuit is open). It does not send a mainnet transaction.

How does a pool use this?

Base LTV 50% times collateralFactorWad. An 80% window yields 40% max quote borrow against resource collateral.

How should an enterprise use this desk?

Is this the same as Promise Gap?

Promise Gap compares a listed yield claim to public product activity. Variance is physical kWh on the lab window.

Is this a live on-chain quote?

No. The desk posts the lab window with the same formulas as AurosRiskOracle. Paid settlement stays human-reviewed. Chain writes are not claimed as live production custody.

Can an industrial meter feed this desk?

Yes, through the same signed MQTT production envelope. A plant gateway can emit AUROS industrial JSON (register → Wh). That is a lab profile, not a certified SCADA stack.

Promised production versus attested production

How an energy desk reads this

Promise

Attest

Score

Promised production versus attested production

How an energy desk reads this

Promise

Attest

Score